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GREEN DOT CORP (GDOT)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Strong Q1: non-GAAP revenue up 24% YoY to $555.96M and adjusted EBITDA up 53% YoY to $90.56M; non-GAAP EPS $1.06 vs $0.59 a year ago, with all three segments showing profit growth .
  • Beat vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $557.49M* vs $503.20M* and EPS $1.06* vs $0.71*; prior quarter also beat; YoY, Q1 2024 EPS missed estimates but revenue beat [GetEstimates].
  • Guidance raised for FY25: non-GAAP revenue to $2.0–$2.1B (from $1.85–$1.90B), adjusted EBITDA to $150–$160M (from $145–$155M), and non-GAAP EPS to $1.14–$1.28 (from $1.05–$1.20) vs prior .
  • Strategic and commercial momentum: Walmart distribution and product programs extended to January 2033; Samsung Wallet Tap to Transfer and Crypto.com partnerships highlight Arc’s embedded finance traction; portfolio repositioning incurred a $25M realized loss but expected to lift yields; TailFin JV funds a $70M Walmart incentive (equity loss) without incremental cash outlay .
  • Narrative/catalysts: accelerating B2B/embedded finance growth and raised FY guidance, Walmart extension, and high-profile partnerships are likely the near-term stock drivers; watch subsequent partner launches/timing and Consumer trajectory moderation .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • Broad-based profit growth: “all three of our reporting segments posted profit growth this quarter for the first time in several years” (CFO) .
    • B2B acceleration: >40% B2B revenue growth YoY, margin expansion ~40 bps; renewals improved economics; pipeline momentum with new launches .
    • Strategic wins: Walmart relationship extended to 2033 and new partnerships with Samsung and Crypto.com on the Arc platform (embedded finance) .
  • What Went Wrong
    • Consumer softness continues: Consumer Services revenue fell to $95.26M (from $100.61M Q1’24) and management still expects upper-single-digit decline for 2025; no return to active account growth in 2025 .
    • GAAP noise: realized $24.50M loss on AFS securities due to portfolio repositioning; GAAP “Other (expense), net” rose to $(25.70)M; non-GAAP adjustments were material .
    • Staffing headwinds: rapid!/PayCard revenue still pressured by weak staffing vertical; although losses/fraud costs improved, revenue remains under strain .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
GAAP Total Operating Revenues ($USD Millions)$451.99 $409.74 $455.02 $558.87
Non-GAAP Total Operating Revenues ($USD Millions)$447.42 $406.02 $451.72 $555.96
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$59.23 $28.32 $43.84 $90.56
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)13.2% 7.0% 9.7% 16.3%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.09 $(0.15) $0.09 $0.47
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.59 $0.13 $0.40 $1.06
GAAP Net Income ($USD Millions)$4.75 $(7.84) $5.10 $25.77

Segment revenue

Segment Revenue ($USD Thousands)Q1 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Consumer Services$100,612 $98,046 $107,184 $95,256
B2B Services$241,200 $276,402 $312,146 $341,991
Money Movement Services$103,150 $31,854 $29,690 $110,247
Corporate & Other$2,461 $(283) $2,697 $8,470
Total Non-GAAP Segment Revenues$447,423 $406,019 $451,717 $555,964

Segment profit (Adjusted EBITDA)

Segment Profit ($USD Thousands)Q1 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Consumer Services$33,259 $39,389 $54,803 $33,632
B2B Services$18,283 $27,736 $27,277 $27,152
Money Movement Services$65,847 $12,717 $8,727 $76,826
Corporate & Other$(58,157) $(51,527) $(46,966) $(47,051)
Total Segment Profit (Adj. EBITDA)$59,232 $28,315 $43,841 $90,559

KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Gross Dollar Volume (Consolidated, $USD Millions)$33,473 $35,282 $37,252
Active Accounts (Millions)3.46 3.67 3.58
Purchase Volume (Consolidated, $USD Millions)$4,887 $5,152 $5,113
Cash Transfers (Millions)8.22 8.14 7.51
Tax Refunds Processed (Millions)0.19 0.15 7.98

Results vs S&P Global consensus (non-GAAP metrics where applicable)

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue Estimate ($)419,588,250*420,388,750*503,195,000*
Revenue Actual ($)450,531,000*453,824,000*557,488,000*
EPS Estimate ($)0.7270*0.3538*0.7066*
EPS Actual ($)0.59*0.40*1.06*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Bolded beats/misses: Q1 2025 revenue and EPS were beats; Q4 2024 both beats; Q1 2024 revenue beat but EPS miss [GetEstimates].

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Non-GAAP Total Operating RevenuesFY 2025$1.85B–$1.90B $2.00B–$2.10B Raised
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025$145M–$155M $150M–$160M Raised
Non-GAAP EPSFY 2025$1.05–$1.20 $1.14–$1.28 Raised

Notes: Company expects Q2–Q3 revenue growth similar to Q1, low-teens in Q4 as discrete Q4’24 items are lapped; B2B full-year growth low–mid 30% with some margin pressure from mix; Money Movement low single-digit growth with margin up; Consumer upper-single-digit decline, with moderation in recurring base .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3’24 and Q4’24)Current Period (Q1’25)Trend
Embedded finance/Arc platformLaunched Arc brand; adjusted EBITDA growth resuming; 2025 growth to be driven by embedded finance (B2B + Money Movement) Samsung Wallet Tap to Transfer via Arc; Crypto.com banking rails/savings; robust pipeline and renewals Strengthening
Walmart relationshipKey dependency noted; ongoing retail headwinds Extended through Jan 2033; $70M TailFin-funded incentive (equity loss) with no new cash outlay; economics otherwise unchanged Positive durability
Consumer ServicesRetail softness; improved execution but below expectations Declines moderating (PLS partnership, product/UX work); no 2025 return to active growth Stabilizing/mixed
Balance sheet/yieldNo prior realized loss calloutRepositioned portfolio; realized ~$25M AFS loss; expected yield improvement ahead One-time cost for future yield
Compliance/RiskInvestment focus ongoing New CRO Kim Olson; continued spend on regulatory compliance/infrastructure Strengthening governance
Strategic alternativesBoard reviewing alternatives to maximize value; no further details Ongoing process

Management Commentary

  • “It was a very strong start to 2025 as we beat our projections, added significant new BaaS and money processing partners, and extended a major retail relationship… positioned to win in the embedded finance market” – Interim CEO William Jacobs .
  • “All three of our reporting segments posted profit growth this quarter for the first time in several years” – CFO Jess Unruh .
  • On partnerships: “Samsung… Wallet features powered in part by Arc… we are thrilled… and look forward to building upon the relationship” – Chris Ruppel ; Crypto.com to leverage Arc for on/off-ramp and savings vault .
  • On Walmart renewal: “We… renewed… with Walmart… now extends to 2033” – Chris Ruppel; “no other changes to the economics on the MoneyCard program” – CFO .
  • On guidance: Raised FY25 non-GAAP revenue, adjusted EBITDA and EPS ranges versus February guide given overperformance and pipeline momentum .

Q&A Highlights

  • Samsung/Crypto revenue classification: Will flow through BaaS or Money Movement depending on Arc services used; expected to scale over time (no specific ramp disclosed) .
  • Walmart economics: Aside from the $70M TailFin-funded incentive (equity loss), “no other changes to the economics on the MoneyCard program” .
  • Portfolio scope/divestiture: Tech stacks for PayCard/Tax more autonomous; strategic alternatives review contemplates options including possible divestitures if value-enhancing .
  • Consumer outlook: Active account declines moderating (PLS, FSC channel); no return to growth in 2025; product modernization to aid appeal longer-term .
  • Macro in guidance: Based on current environment; deterioration would prompt reassessment .
  • Competitive landscape in embedded finance: Preference shifting to at-scale, vertically integrated partners with bank/regulatory capability, favoring Arc’s value proposition .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 beat: Revenue $557.49M* vs $503.20M* and EPS $1.06* vs $0.7066*; Q4 2024 also beat; Q1 2024 revenue beat but EPS missed [GetEstimates].
  • Expect upward estimate revisions for FY25 non-GAAP revenue and EPS following raised company guidance; potential modest adjustments to segment mix and B2B margins given mix commentary .

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Embedded finance momentum is translating to financials: non-GAAP revenue +24% YoY, adjusted EBITDA +53% YoY; all segments showing profit growth; B2B continues to be the engine .
  • Guidance raised across the board for FY25, signaling confidence in pipeline and execution; expect estimates to move up and narrative to focus on embedded finance growth durability .
  • Walmart extension to 2033 materially de-risks a key relationship; TailFin-funded incentive avoids new cash outlay but will show as equity losses in GAAP; economics otherwise unchanged .
  • One-time $25M realized loss on securities should improve future yields; GAAP P&L noise vs cleaner non-GAAP trajectory—watch yields and NII in Corporate segment .
  • Consumer headwinds persist but are moderating; execution (PLS, product/UX) and FSC channel expansion aim to stabilize the base; no active account growth expected in 2025 .
  • Near-term catalysts: additional partner wins/launches on Arc, visibility on strategic alternatives, and sequential revenue cadence in Q2–Q3 in line with Q1 as guided .
  • Risk checks: staffing vertical recovery timing (rapid!/PayCard), execution on multiple large partner launches, regulatory/compliance investment pace, and macro sensitivity per management .